Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 127.187884 145.008251 164.770215 188.369361 215.860452 246.965011 284.951111
2025-12-07 98.466952 120.692352 147.440672 182.219925 226.560008 281.615877 355.801153
2025-12-14 83.056315 107.098405 137.754361 180.128406 237.834408 314.620135 426.112916
2025-12-21 73.877545 99.252861 133.168056 182.474282 253.428637 353.550264 508.600923
2025-12-28 68.554750 95.472493 132.972123 189.997013 276.240883 404.630204 615.673571
2026-01-04 63.282585 90.914857 130.823391 193.956879 293.745374 449.609405 720.091139
2026-01-11 57.531509 84.897332 125.673605 192.442596 302.157416 481.006541 806.899383
2026-01-18 54.090234 81.900778 124.605845 196.917136 320.351757 530.255849 931.882372
2026-01-25 50.076565 77.560144 120.899687 196.506659 330.049526 565.994206 1038.061657
2026-02-01 47.064704 74.489139 118.851105 198.501253 343.933082 610.694900 1168.547326
2026-02-08 43.363107 69.929952 113.867557 194.768451 346.868554 635.302835 1262.870491
2026-02-15 40.982964 67.356502 111.965471 196.240409 359.513300 679.974744 1406.681247
2026-02-22 38.529257 64.704624 110.128742 198.515065 375.806584 738.033191 1600.496295
2026-03-01 34.937116 59.766781 103.816454 191.746308 373.542860 758.303052 1714.946923
2026-03-08 32.392497 56.453969 100.101629 189.518499 380.198092 798.681604 1887.101653
2026-03-15 30.726172 54.579018 98.848579 192.002528 397.147215 864.847911 2140.727380
2026-03-22 29.861177 54.108171 100.200660 199.971897 427.332021 967.266456 2518.383565
2026-03-29 28.634607 52.823231 99.810978 204.167847 449.538705 1054.609188 2878.844477
2026-04-05 26.915500 50.419716 96.935260 202.563206 457.774673 1108.223896 3154.916349
2026-04-12 25.962691 49.454937 96.901603 207.305019 482.201766 1209.048590 3608.829165
2026-04-19 24.609732 47.560202 94.736658 206.869988 493.535382 1276.501987 3974.928470
2026-04-26 23.585234 46.257016 93.707823 208.983954 511.825833 1367.390641 4452.085299
2026-05-03 22.146980 43.969321 90.330177 205.027886 513.311425 1409.424297 4766.854129